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Congressional Budget Office: The Accuracy of CBO’s Budget Projections for 2023

December 15, 2023 The Congressional Budget reports that its May 2022 projections for fiscal year 2023, CBO overestimated revenues by 11 percent and underestimated outlays by 9 percent. CBO’s projection of the federal deficit for 2023 was less than the actual amount by 3.9 percent of GDP. SUMMARY: After each…

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Congressional Budget Office: CBO’s Current View of the Economy and the Implication for Federal Budget and Workers

In this report CBO responds to questions about the agency’s current view of economic growth and interest rates and the implications of that view for the federal budget—as well as about the implications of inflation for workers. SUMMARY: This letter responds to questions about the Congressional Budget Office’s current view…

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Google Announces the Public Release of Gemini: Can it be Used to Support Legal Research?

“Google launched its most ambitious AI model called Gemini on Wednesday [December 6, 2023], which is described as Google’s “largest and most capable AI model.” The company announced a “Gemini era” where the model will be used widely in companies and consumer devices like Google Pixel phones. Unlike existing AI…

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Update to Open AI Terms of Use and Privacy

Yesterday, December 12, 2023, we received an email from Open AI announcing changes to their Terms of Use and Privacy Policy that will make it easier to understand what to expect from Open AI  when you use their services. The changes will become effective on January 31, 2024. Below is…

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American Bar Association and AI

In a previous posting on this blog, Reflections of a Retired Law Librarian: From Mimeograph to Generative AI, I urged professional organizations, including the American Bar Association (ABA) and the American Association of Law Libraries (AALL), to appoint committees or commissions at the highest level to  facilitate the development and…

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The Federal Budget Process and the Role of the Congressional Budget

Presentation by: Lara Robillard, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, to the Leadership Fellowship Program at the National Hispanic Medical Association. Summary: CBO was established to give the Congress a stronger role in budget matters. The agency provides analysis of budgetary and economic issues that is objective and impartial.…

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CBO Blog Post: A Call for New Research In the Area of Taxes and Transfers

Originally posted by John McClellan et. al. on July 25, 2023. As part of the legislative process, the Congressional Budget Office* supplies the Congress with cost estimates for legislation, economic and budget projections, and other economic assessments. Information from the research community is an important element of CBO’s analyses. This…

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CB0 Blog Posting: Call For New Research in the Area of National Security

Original Posting  by David Mosher et.al. on  July 24, 2023* As part of the legislative process, the Congressional Budget Office supplies the Congress with cost estimates for legislation, economic and budget projections, and other economic assessments. Information from the research community is an important element of CBO’s analyses. This is…

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CBO Blog Posting: A Call for New Research in the Area of Macroeconomics

Original posting by Richard DeKaser on the CBO Blog, July 21,2023.* As part of the legislative process, the Congressional Budget Office supplies the Congress with cost estimates for legislation, economic and budget projections, and other economic assessments. Information from the research community is an important element of CBO’s analyses. This…

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CBO Director: Testimony on Social Security’s Finances, July 12,2023

CBO’s Director, Phillip Swagel, testifies about the agency’s projections of Social Security’s finances before the Senate Budget Committee. Established in 1974, The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is a federal agency within the legislative branch of the United States government.  It is charged with providing  members of Congress  objective  analysis of…

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